
The Indian stock market witnessed a strong rally this week, marking one of its best performances in recent times. Benchmark indices, led by the Nifty, ended on a positive note, gaining nearly 6%. The surge was driven by the announcement of a temporary ceasefire between Iran and the United States, boosting hopes of de-escalation in the Middle East conflict.
Easing tensions reduced concerns over disruptions in oil supply through the Strait of Hormuz, leading to a sharp decline in crude oil prices. Positive global cues and a rebound in the Indian rupee against the US dollar further supported the rally.
India foreign exchange reserves spiked 1.3% in week ended April 3 to $697.121 billion This marks a $9.063 billion jump in the reserves Foreign Institutional investors continued their sell off in Indian equities offloading Rs 48,213 crore in April alone They have sold shares worth Rs 1,79,335 crore on a year to date basis The Indian rupee has staged a notable recovery after breaching the 95 mark as the RBI stepped up efforts to curb speculation in the Indian currency market This was further supported by a Temporary ceasefire announcement by US and Iran and a sharp fall in crude oil prices
The US-Iran War
The US-Iran conflict witnessed a significant diplomatic shift this week as both nations agreed to a temporary two-week ceasefire, pausing weeks of escalating military tensions. The ceasefire is being mediated through Pakistan, offering a crucial channel for dialogue between the two sides.
Under the agreement, the United States has suspended its planned military strikes, while Iran has agreed to reopen the strategically vital Strait of Hormuz, a key global oil supply route. This development initially brought relief to global markets and eased concerns over energy disruptions.
However, the situation remains highly fragile, with the ceasefire stability still in question. The Strait of Hormuz is only partially operational, as Iran continues to maintain strict control over maritime movements.
Adding to the uncertainty, ongoing Israeli military operations in Lebanon have further escalated regional tensions, prompting warnings of retaliation from Iran.
Overall, despite the ceasefire, geopolitical risks remain elevated, with both sides cautioning that military action could resume if the agreed terms are violated.
Time Analysis Performance: Week in Review
Even in a high-volatility environment, our time-cycle projections aligned effectively with key intraday turning points, reinforcing the importance of combining time and price analysis.
Monday – 6th April
Time Windows:
09:35 AM | 11:20 AM | 01:30 PM | 02:35 PM
- Big selling pressure observed 9 15 am to 9 30 am , close to 9 35 am window
- Day low formed near 11:15 AM, close to 11:20 AM window
Tuesday – 7th April
Time Windows:
10:25 AM | 11:40 AM | 01:30 PM
Swing Top done near 10 25 am & 11 40 am
Good momentum begun at 1 30 pm onwards
Wednesday – 8th April
Time Windows:
09:30 AM | 12:25 PM | 02:30 PM | 03:05 PM
- Day Low formed near 9 30 am, aligning with projected window
- Swing low formed near 12 25 pm
Thursday – 9th April
Time Windows:
09:20 AM | 09:40 AM | 11:25 AM | 02:20 PM
- Day high formed near 9 30 am , close to our window 9 20 am
- Strong Selling pressure came near 9 40 am
- Swing high formed near 11 30 am
- Day low formed near 2:30 PM, close to projected time
Friday – 10th April
Time Windows:
10:05 AM | 10:30 AM | 01:25 PM
Swing High formed near 10 30 am
Again selling pressure came near 1 40 pm close to 1 25 pm window
Across the week, time projections remained highly relevant, especially when aligned with price structure and key levels.
Important Time Windows for the Week Ahead
(13th April – 17th April)
Based on ongoing time-cycle analysis, the following intraday windows may remain significant. These should be used alongside price action — not in isolation.
Monday – 13th April
09:30 AM | 11:00 AM | 11:35 AM | 01:10 PM | 01:40 PM
Wednesday – 15th April
11:15 AM | 01:30 PM
Thursday – 16th April
09:25 AM | 10:30 AM | 02:35 PM
Friday – 17th April
09:30 AM | 09:50 AM | 02:45 PM
These time clusters may indicate:
- Volatility expansion
- Swing highs/lows
- Momentum shifts
Important Levels for the Week Ahead
For intraday and short-term decision-making, the following price zones should be closely monitored:
Upside / Resistance Zone
25,002 | 24,680 | 24,650 | 24,538 | 24,482 | 24,450 | 24,387 | 24,143
Downside / Support Zone
23,940 | 23,850 | 23,462 | 23,330 | 22,857
Market behavior near these levels — especially when aligned with time windows — will be crucial in identifying market direction.
Next Week Outlook
Weekly Outlook – Key Levels & Time Triggers
As per our analysis, Monday, April 13, will be a crucial reference point for the week. The high and low of Monday are expected to set the tone for the upcoming sessions.
- A break above Monday’s high may trigger bullish momentum in the Nifty 50
- While a break below Monday’s low could lead to renewed bearish pressure
Time-wise Outlook:
- Wednesday (April 15) and Thursday (April 16) may witness strong intraday momentum, offering active trading opportunities for intraday traders
- April 16–17 will be very important from a positional perspective, as the market may enter a potential reversal zone
We are specifically watching these dates for a possible move opposite to the prior trend, making them critical for positional traders to track price action closely for upcoming week
Important Note:
With ongoing global uncertainties, market behavior can remain volatile and unpredictable. Hence, strict risk management and disciplined execution should remain the top priority.
Disclaimer
Research by Team WealthView Analytics Pvt. Ltd.
SEBI Registration No.: INH000009676
Registration granted by SEBI and certification from NISM do not guarantee performance or assure returns. This report is for educational purposes only. Market investments are subject to risk.








